A neural network-based approach for public transportation prediction with traffic density matrix

Abstract

International audience; In today's modern cities, mobility is of crucial importance, and public transportation is particularly concerned. The main objective is to propose solutions to a given, practical problem, which specifically concerns the bus arrival time at various bus stop stations, by taking to account local traffic conditions. We show that a global prediction approach, under some global macro-parameters (e.g., total number of vehicles or pedestrians) is not feasible. This observation leads us to the introduction of a finer granularity approach, where the traffic conditions are represented in terms of a traffic density matrix. Under this new paradigm, the experimental results obtained with both linear and neural networks (NN) approaches show promising prediction performances. Thus, the NN approach yields 24% more accurate prediction performances than a basic, linear regression