Estimating Model Uncertainty of Neural Networks in Sparse Information Form

Abstract

We present a sparse representation of model uncertainty for Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) where the parameter posterior is approximated with an inverse formulation of the Multivariate Normal Distribution (MND), also known as the information form. The key insight of our work is that the information matrix, i.e. the inverse of the covariance matrix tends to be sparse in its spectrum. Therefore, dimensionality reduction techniques such as low rank approximations (LRA) can be effectively exploited. To achieve this, we develop a novel sparsification algorithm and derive a cost-effective analytical sampler. As a result, we show that the information form can be scalably applied to represent model uncertainty in DNNs. Our exhaustive theoretical analysis and empirical evaluations on various benchmarks show the competitiveness of our approach over the current methods.

Comment: Accepted to the Thirty-seventh International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 2020

Original document

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

• http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.11631

• https://elib.dlr.de/135531