Scipediacontent: Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 380274674 to Gastineau et al 2011a

2021-02-16T09:23:28Z

Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 380274674 to Gastineau et al 2011a

Scipediacontent: Created page with " == Abstract == This article provides jet fuel demand projections at the worldwide level and for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic forecasts are performed usin..."

2021-02-16T09:23:25Z

Created page with " == Abstract == This article provides jet fuel demand projections at the worldwide level and for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic forecasts are performed usin..."

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== Abstract ==

This article provides jet fuel demand projections at the worldwide level and for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic forecasts are performed using dynamic panel-data econometrics. Then, the conversion of air traffic projections into quantities of jet fuel is accomplished by using a complementary approach to the 'Traffic Efficiency' method developed previously by the UK Department of Trade and Industry to support the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 1999). According to our main scenario, air traffic should increase by about 100% between 2008 and 2025 at the world level, corresponding to a yearly average growth rate of 4.7%. World jet fuel demand is expected to increase by about 38% during the same period, corresponding to a yearly average growth rate of 1.9% per year. According to these results, energy efficiency improvements allow reducing the effect of air traffic rise on the increase in jet fuel demand, but do not annihilate it. Jet fuel demand is thus unlikely to diminish unless there is a radical technological shift, or air travel demand is restricted.

== Original document ==

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

* [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.05.049 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.05.049] under the license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd

* [https://basepub.dauphine.fr//bitstream/123456789/6792/2/jet-fuel.pdf https://basepub.dauphine.fr//bitstream/123456789/6792/2/jet-fuel.pdf]

* [https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00990189 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00990189] under the license cc-by-nc-nd

* [https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421511004496?httpAccept=text/xml https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421511004496?httpAccept=text/xml],
: [https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421511004496?httpAccept=text/plain https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421511004496?httpAccept=text/plain],
: [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.05.049 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.05.049]

* [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421511004496 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421511004496],
: [https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v39y2011i9p5147-5158.html https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v39y2011i9p5147-5158.html],
: [https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00990189 https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00990189],
: [https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00990189 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00990189],
: [http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421511004496 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421511004496],
: [https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2092785387 https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2092785387] under the license https://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

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Gastineau et al 2011a - Revision history

Scipediacontent: Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 380274674 to Gastineau et al 2011a

Scipediacontent: Created page with " == Abstract == This article provides jet fuel demand projections at the worldwide level and for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic forecasts are performed usin..."