Scipediacontent: Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 244779549 to 238,295po

2021-03-23T03:29:45Z

Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 244779549 to 238,295po

Scipediacontent: Created page with " == Abstract == Runway excursion (RE) is recognized as one of the main Airport Safety Issues. It can be defined as an event in which an aircraft veers-off or overruns the run..."

2021-03-23T03:27:48Z

Created page with " == Abstract == Runway excursion (RE) is recognized as one of the main Airport Safety Issues. It can be defined as an event in which an aircraft veers-off or overruns the run..."

New page

== Abstract ==

Runway excursion (RE) is recognized as one of the main Airport Safety Issues. It can be defined as an event in which an aircraft veers-off or overruns the runway surface during either takeoff or landing. In this paper an application of Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) method on RE events is presented. BBN belongs to quantitative class of causal methods. It estimates the risk of incident or accident according to estimation of probability of occurrence of each cause of an event. It might be restricted to pure statistical analysis based on the available data or combine these data with expert judgment (personal beliefs) on the accident causes. The aim of this paper is to identify potential causal factors, analyze and determine the probability of their realization. In order to illustrate BBN application on RE, two models were developed: one for landing and other for take-off. Based on the Ishikawa diagram method, causal factors have been identified, and then through a qualitative BBN model, their interdependencies are presented. The quantification of the model is accomplished by combining statistical data with the expert beliefs. Sensitivity analysis has shown what are the most critical causal factors whose knowledge allows developing certain measures to reduce the risk of RE.

Document type: Article

== Full document ==
<pdf>Media:Draft_Content_244779549-beopen1431-3885-document.pdf</pdf>

== Original document ==

The different versions of the original document can be found in:

* [http://scindeks.ceon.rs/article.aspx?artid=0040-21761901105T http://scindeks.ceon.rs/article.aspx?artid=0040-21761901105T] under the license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by

* [https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf]

* [https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf],
: [http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/tehnika1901105t http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/tehnika1901105t] under the license cc-by

* [https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf],
: [https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2921857041 https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2921857041] under the license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0

* [https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0040-2176/2019/0040-21761901105T.pdf],
: [https://doaj.org/toc/0040-2176 https://doaj.org/toc/0040-2176],
: [https://doaj.org/toc/2560-3086 https://doaj.org/toc/2560-3086]

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Scipediacontent: Scipediacontent moved page Draft Content 244779549 to 238,295po

Scipediacontent: Created page with " == Abstract == Runway excursion (RE) is recognized as one of the main Airport Safety Issues. It can be defined as an event in which an aircraft veers-off or overruns the run..."